PROGNOSES MENU

 

Long term prognoses (annual, biennial)

Prognoses of August “cabañuelas” for year 2008  

Mid term prognoses (monthly, seasonal): 

January and February 2008

Special Easter 2008

 

 

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From  autumn of 1999 our long term weather forecasts have seen the light through Internet, as one of the fundamental pieces of the undertaken work many years ago. 

In spite of the controversies raised in some forums and the lacks of understanding of little respectful  with the work and the dignity of other people , this activity has not only proved the validity of ancient meteorological tools, but that simoultaneously has allowed us to improve them .Observation is fundamental in any scientific activity, and not only one previous and incipient stage of  knowledge, as erroneously some people think. 

Our ancestors  had a very superior capacity of observation and by means of their visual and sensorial sharpness they were able to extract sagacious deductions.  In front of our powerful technology they used of themselves and their natural environement to make weather forecasts.  There is no barometer neither apparatus or talent designed by the man who has the sensitivity of the alive being; this one, by its complexity, great amount of internal connections that has and its dependency of ambience, is able to tune environmental variations, although  automatic and unconsciously, more subtle and of enormous interpretative value that the apparatus or satellites, an art that our scientific and technological culture, unfortunately, both have lost. 

        It has also happened the same with the logical-rational part of ancient science, based in the aristotelian interpretation of the world, so valued in the Midle Ages by the scientists of all Europe (Astrometeorology).  In spite of the obsolete thing which we found at the moment in it, ancient science started of correct principles that only is necessary to reformulate in terms of the present Physics.  And, mainly, it does not reduce, it does not isolate the parts of the great terrestrial organism as does the academic present science, nor cuts the powerful bonds that unite it to the next cosmic environment, the Solar System.

    The peasant, expert knower of their mediuss and the ancient scientist have the same global and unified vision of the world, that every time arises with greater push in the present scientific panorama; " a holistic " vision, term that have been necessary to find in the Greek language, cultured language in which they dreamed up this class of knowledge  2500 years ago.  

                     José Luis Pascual Blázquez, february 6th  2006