PROGNOSES
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Long
term prognoses (annual, biennial)
Prognoses
of August “cabañuelas” for year 2008
Mid
term prognoses (monthly, seasonal):
From
autumn of 1999 our long term weather forecasts have seen the
light through Internet, as one of the fundamental pieces of the undertaken work
many years ago.
In spite of the controversies raised in some forums and the lacks of
understanding of little respectful with the
work and the
dignity of other people , this activity has not only proved the validity of
ancient meteorological tools, but
that simoultaneously has allowed us to improve them .Observation is fundamental in any scientific activity, and not only
one previous and incipient stage of knowledge, as erroneously some people think.
Our
ancestors had a very superior capacity of observation and by means of
their visual and sensorial sharpness they were able to extract sagacious
deductions. In front of our
powerful technology they used of themselves and their natural environement to
make weather forecasts. There is no
barometer neither apparatus or talent designed by the man who has the sensitivity
of the alive being; this one, by its complexity, great amount of internal
connections that has and its dependency of ambience, is able to tune
environmental variations, although automatic and unconsciously, more
subtle and of enormous interpretative value that the apparatus or satellites, an art that our scientific and technological culture,
unfortunately, both have lost.
It has also happened the same with the logical-rational part of ancient science,
based in the aristotelian interpretation of the world, so valued in the Midle
Ages by the scientists of all
The peasant, expert knower of their mediuss and the ancient scientist have the
same global and unified vision of the world, that every time arises with greater
push in the present scientific panorama; " a holistic " vision, term that have been necessary to
find in the Greek language, cultured language in which they dreamed up this class
of knowledge 2500 years ago.
José
Luis Pascual Blázquez, february 6th 2006